Short answer: West Hollywood arrests fell in 2014 and 2015 like Los Angeles, but rose in 2016

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The Los Angeles Times recently reported that arrests are “plummeting across California.” The decline hasn’t been accompanied by a drop in crime, so it raises questions. The newspaper’s research showed:

  • A 25% drop in Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) arrests between 2013 and 2015
  • Significant declines in arrests by the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department and the San Diego Police Department
  • A 50-year low in arrests statewide in 2015

We wondered whether arrests have also fallen in West Hollywood. We did not delve into possible causes.


Arrests over time

The number of arrests in West Hollywood has gone down, up, down, and maybe up again in the new millennium. The number fell fast in the early 2000s. Starting in 2005, it generally rose until 2010, when it peaked. A gentle decline was followed by big drops in 2014 and 2015 and a partial rebound in 2016.

Notes: (1) The state’s arrest numbers for West Hollywood appear to be lower than the City’s. That’s also true for Los Angeles and maybe other cities. We assume there’s a difference in methodology. (2) Since the state data only goes through 2014, we supplemented it with City data for arrests for Part 1 crimes (violent and property crimes). That way we can see the direction and size of changes in 2015 and 2016. Sources: State of California, Department of Justice, CJSC Statistics: Arrests, Arrests; City of West Hollywood, semi-annual public-safety reports to the City Council; our analysis.


Comparison to nearby cities

Between 2012 and 2014, the number of arrests declined 18% in West Hollywood. They also dropped in Los Angeles (-17%), Burbank (-9%), Culver City (-8%), and California as a whole (-2%). However, the number of arrests grew in Beverly Hills (+20%) and Santa Monica (+18%). Even with that growth, arrests in Beverly Hills and Santa Monica were still below their pre-2010 levels.

Note: The Los Angeles Times compared 2013 to 2015, but we don’t have 2015 numbers for nearby cities, so we compared 2012 to 2014. Sources: State of California, Department of Justice, CJSC Statistics: Arrests, Arrests Data File 2005-2014; our analysis.


Longer-term comparison to nearby cities

Over a longer period, West Hollywood was different from nearby cities. The number of arrests increased 20% from 2005 to 2014. In nearby cities, the number of arrests fell 10% to 36%. Arrests dropped 20% statewide.

Sources: Same as above.


Comparison of arrests per 1,000 residents

We calculated the number of arrests per 1,000 residents over the decade from 2005 to 2014. In West Hollywood, the number generally rose and then — starting in 2011 — fell.

In Los Angeles, the number of arrests per 1,000 residents started declining in 2008. The decline continued through 2016, based on the state data and the newspaper’s reporting.

Sources: California Department of Justice; California Department of Finance population estimates; our analysis.


http://wehobythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/201704-arrests-history.jpghttp://wehobythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/201704-arrests-history-300x300.jpgDavid WarrenPerformance (effort)Public safetybeverly hills,burbank,crime,culver city,los angeles,los angeles county,santa monica,sheriff
Short answer: West Hollywood arrests fell in 2014 and 2015 like Los Angeles, but rose in 2016| The Los Angeles Times recently reported that arrests are 'plummeting across California.' The decline hasn't been accompanied by a drop in crime, so it raises questions. The newspaper's research showed: A 25% drop...