Short answer: 11% by number or 9% adjusted for the seriousness of the crimes

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In a recent report, we asked whether crime in West Hollywood was up or down in the past year and last five years. The answer was up in the past year, but still down versus five years ago.

Now we’ve recalculated the numbers for the past year using updated data. The chart below shows the change in crime in fiscal year 2016 (July 2015 to June 2016) compared to fiscal year 2015 (July 2014 to June 2015).

Note: The number of crimes in the semi-annual crime report is higher than the sum of the monthly reports. We used the monthly reports in the original analysis. Sources: Sheriff’s semi-annual crime reports to the City Council; California Department of Finance population estimates; our analysis.

We can see:

  • The number of crimes and the crime rate both rose 11% in a year
  • The seriousness of the average crime declined slightly (still about as serious as grand theft)
  • The overall severity of crime increased 9% in the past year


Definitions

As we explained in the earlier report, we’ve adopted Canadian government definitions for “seriousness” and “severity.” Seriousness refers to the relative importance of different types of crime. Severity is the overall measure that combines seriousness with the crime rate. Expressed as formulas:

Overall crime severity = Crime rate x Seriousness

Crime rate = Number of crimes ÷ Population

We’re using the length of prison sentences set by the California legislature as our measure of the seriousness of each crime. For example, for homicide, we’re using 15 years, which is the bottom end of the 15-years-to-life sentence for second-degree murder.

Sources: Attorney websites; our analysis.


http://wehobythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/201609-crime-update.jpghttp://wehobythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/201609-crime-update-300x300.jpgDavid WarrenPerformance (effectiveness)Public safetycrime
Short answer: 11% by number or 9% adjusted for the seriousness of the crimes| In a recent report, we asked whether crime in West Hollywood was up or down in the past year and last five years. The answer was up in the past year, but still down versus...